End of History Illusion: underestimating future change

This fun Science article suggests that people underestimate how much they are going to change in the future. They compared people's responses at different ages of how much they have changed in the last ten years vs how much they are going to change in the next ten years (using established personality and other measures, and comparing the present responses with the predicted or postdicted responses). I found this interesting because I am always looking to keep growing and developing and fear the slowing down of change. This paper suggests that this fear is natural because indeed I am prone to underestimating my future change, while I probably still have a decent amount of growth ahead of me.

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